上半年结婚登记数据出炉，专家这样分析

“一边在七夕排队领证，一边在网上喊‘不婚’”——这届年轻人的婚恋观，主打一个“反差感”。而最新出炉的数据，也印证了这份复杂心态。

上半年结婚登记创近十年新低

8月12日，民政部网站发布《2026年2季度民政统计数据》，让不少人倒吸一口凉气：2026年上半年全国结婚登记仅327.5万对——这是自2014年有可比数据以来的最低谷。

Marriage registrations in China in the first half of 2026 fell to a record low of 3.275 million, a retreat from the modest recovery made in 2025 over the previous year and marking the weakest January-June tally since 2014, from when comparable data is available.

图源：东方IC

具体来看：比去年同期少了26.4万对，直接把2025年上半年好不容易攒起来的那点“反弹”（同比多出10.9万对）又给打回去了。

Data released by the Ministry of Civil Affairs on Wednesday showed that the number of marriages taking place in the first half of the year dropped by 264,000 from 3.539 million during the same period last year.

The decline undoes a 2025 first-half rebound, when registrations rose by 109,000 from a 2024 low of 3.43 million.

更扎心的是，这边结婚的少了，那边离婚的却多了——上半年离婚登记138.3万对，同比增加5.2万对。

Divorce registrations, by contrast, edged up 52,000 year-on-year to 1.383 million in the first half of 2026.

有人调侃：以前是“不愿结”，现在连“离”都赶不上了。

别急下定论，下半年才是“考场”

不过人口学者提醒：先别急着给全年“判卷子”。上半年数据只算“期中考试”，一般来说，上半年结婚登记只占全年的51%到56%。

Demographers cautioned that the half-year figures offer only a partial picture, and that marriages in the first half of the year typically account for 51 to 56 percent of the annual total.

真正的“大考”在下半年——两个传统旺季至关重要：

七夕节（8月19日）：多地婚姻登记处预约已爆满，“中国情人节”的仪式感还是管用的；

国庆黄金周（10月）：酒店宴会厅爆满、司仪档期排满、随份子钱随到手软——这是每年雷打不动的老传统了。

The year's outcome will largely depend on peak seasonal windows, including Wednesday's Qixi Festival — considered China's Valentine's Day — for which marriage registration bookings are full across many cities, and the National Day holiday in October, a popular time for wedding registrations.

为什么年轻人不结婚了？专家拆解三大“病灶”

1. 适婚的人，本来就少了

西南交通大学教授、全国老龄委专家委员会委员杨一帆一针见血：这哪是什么短期波动，根本就是长期结构性变化。

Yang Yifan, a professor at Southwest Jiaotong University, who serves on the expert committee of the China National Working Commission on Aging, said the dual trend of falling marriages and rising divorces stems from long-term structural shifts rather than short-term fluctuations.

逻辑很简单：多年低生育率导致20到40岁的适婚人群“缩水” ，人少了，结婚的自然就少了。再加上这届年轻人的婚恋观早就变了，双重夹击之下，数据走低并不意外。

A shrinking pool of people aged 20 to 40 — driven by years of low fertility — and the evolving social attitudes of this age group have weighed on new marriage numbers, he said.

2. 经济+情感，“双重暴击”谁扛得住？

北京工业大学耿丹学院社会工作专业负责人张静用了一个词来形容年轻人的处境——“双重挤压”：

Zhang Jing, a family studies expert at Beijing University of Technology's Gengdan Institute, said that young people nowadays face a "double squeeze" — high financial and emotional costs of marriage and parenting, along with the urge to experience life to the fullest and social media engagement — all of which leave little bandwidth for marriage.

钱包疼：结婚要钱，买房要钱，养娃更要钱，样样都是“吞金兽”。

心也累：想活出自我，想环游世界，短视频里的“别人的生活”看得越多，越觉得婚姻是负担。

说白了，不是不想结，是结不起，也耗不起。

图源：Unsplash

3. 女性觉醒了，婚姻标准“升级”了

陕西秉瑞律师事务所高级合伙人、离婚案件专家律师刘瑞妮从业多年，见证了一个明显变化：离婚案中，主动提出离婚的女性越来越多了。

Liu Ruini, a senior partner at Shaanxi Bingrui Law Firm and a specialist in divorce cases, attributed the steady rise in the number of divorces to evolving marital expectations and growing female independence.

她说，现在的夫妻对婚姻的要求早就不是“搭伙过日子”那么简单了。情感共鸣、价值对等、物质基础，缺一不可。当婚姻满足不了这些“升级版”需求，越来越多经济独立、受过良好教育的女性，会果断选择“及时止损”。

Modern couples prioritize emotional resonance, equitable value exchange and solid material foundations over simply living together, said Liu, adding that better-educated, financially independent women have been increasingly filing for divorce after relationships failed to meet their upgraded quality-of-life standards.

为了让年轻人结婚，各地“卷”起来了

新修订的《婚姻登记条例》自2025年5月10日起施行，其中规定婚姻登记实现“全国通办”——结婚不用再带户口簿了，全国通办，说结就结。

Revised marriage rules that took effect in May 2025 did away with the household registration requirement, allowing couples to tie the knot anywhere without providing household registration booklets.

各地也是“脑洞大开”：

音乐节上设流动婚姻登记点——听着摇滚就把证领了。天津某银行网点直接挂牌婚姻登记处——办完结婚证，顺便开个联名账户？

Authorities have also introduced measures in recent years to make registration more accessible, including setting up pop-up registration booths at music festivals. In a pilot initiative, a bank branch in Tianjin has been designated as a registration outlet, catering to couples who often need bank-issued asset documents to register their marriage.

专家：光“方便”没用，得让年轻人“愿意”

杨一帆直言不讳：简化流程能解决的只是效率问题，解决不了意愿问题。

Yang, from Southwest Jiaotong University, said that easing administrative hurdles has had limited success in boosting marriage numbers, as it improves procedural efficiency without addressing the underlying reluctance to marry.

他的药方是：系统性的全生命周期支持——住房补贴、育儿津贴、普惠托育，一样都不能少。要让年轻人觉得，结婚生子不是“负重前行”。

To reverse the downward trend, he called for systematic, life-cycle support for marriage and childbearing, including housing subsidies, child care allowances and expanded public nursery services, to relieve the strain on family budgets.

张静则从“心”出发，建议把传统家庭文化教育融入青少年心理健康课程，并在社区建立家庭咨询服务体系，帮年轻人扫清对婚姻的恐惧和误解。

Zhang, from Beijing University of Technology, advocated a multipronged policy framework to support marriage and family raising. Her proposals include integrating traditional family culture into adolescent mental health education and establishing community-based family counseling.

来源：央视新闻

结婚这件事，从来不只是两个人的事。它关乎一个社会的活力与未来。

当“结不结婚”从一道必答题变成一道选择题，当年轻人开始用脚投票，我们需要倾听的不只是数据背后的叹息，更是这代人真实的需求与困惑。

记者：李磊

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